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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: UNLV 59%, Hawai`i 41% at Hawai`i.
UNLV's win probability against Hawai`i has swung between 49% and 81% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 59% now.
UNLV's win probability against Hawai`i has swung between 55% and 85% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 65% now.
UNLV's win probability against Hawai`i has swung between 61% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 71% now.